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RESEARCH

The Washington Consensus Works: Causal Effects of Reform, 1970-2015 (with Robin Grier), Journal of Comparative Economics, 2020.

The economic consequences of durable left-populist regimes in Latin America (with Sam Absher & Robin Grier), Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 2020 177. p. 787-817.

Household responses to escalating violence in Mexico (with Luisa Blanco, Robin Grier & Dan Hicks), Applied Economics Letters, 2020.

You say you want a (Rose) Revolution? The effects of Georgia's 2004 Market Reforms (with Sam Absher and Bob Lawson), Economics of Transition and Institutional Change 27.1 (2019): 301-323.

Heterogenous endogeneity, (with Pallab Ghosh and Jaeho Kim), Statistical Papers, 2019, pp. 1-40.

The Economic Consequences of Hugo Chavez (with Norman Maynard), Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, May 2016, pages 1-21 (lead article)

 

Marriage Market Matching and Conspicuous Consumption in China (with Dan Hicks and Weici Yuan), Economic Inquiry, April 2016, pages 1251–1262

 

Political fractionalization and delay in fiscal stabilizations: A duration analysis (with Shu Lin and Haichun Ye), Public Choice, 2015, Volume 164, Issue 1, p. 157-175

 

Exchange Rate Shocks and Trade: A Multivariate GARCH-M Approach (with Aaron Smallwood), Journal of International Money and Finance, October 2013, 37: 282-305.

 

Do High Interest Rates Deter Speculative Attacks? Evidence and Some Theory (with Shu Lin), Journal of International Money and Finance, 2010, 29(5): 938-950.

 

Elections, Exchange Rates & Reform in Latin America (with Rodolfo Cermeño and Robin Grier), Journal of Development Economics, 2010, 92(2): 166-174.

 

Speculative attacks and defenses as a war of attrition: Theory and an example (with Shu Lin), European Journal of Political Economy, 2009, 25(4): 540-546.

 

Trust and Development (with Jacob Dearmon), Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 2009, 71: 210-220.

 

Twin sons of different mothers: the long and short of the twin deficits debate (with Haichun Ye), Economic Inquiry, 2009, 47(4): 625-638.

 

Presidential Elections and Real GDP growth in the USA, Public Choice, 2008, 135, (3), 337-352.

 

Only Income Diverges: A Neoclassical Anomaly (with Robin Grier), Journal of Development Economics, 2007, 84(1): 25-45.

 

Uncertainty and Export Performance: Evidence from 18 Countries (with Aaron Smallwood), Journal of Money, Credit, & Banking, 2007, 39(4): 965-979.

 

External Influences on Economic Reform: Reform as a Regional Public Good (with Daniel Sutter), European Journal of Political Economy, 2007, 23(3): 660-673.

 

On the Real Effects of Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty in Mexico (with Robin Grier), Journal of Development Economics, 2006, 80: 478-500.

 

Inflation, Presidents, Fed Chairs and Regime Shifts in the US real interest rate (with Tony Caporale), Journal of Money, Credit & Banking, December 2005; 37: 1153-1163.

 

How Smart is my Dummy? Time Series Tests for the Influence of Politics (with Tony Caporale), Political Analysis, Winter 2005; 13: 77 - 94.

 

The Asymmetric Effects of Uncertainty on Inflation and Output Growth (with Olan Henry, Nilss Olekalns, and Kalvinder Shields), Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2004, Volume 19, p. 551-565.

 

The Real Exchange Rate Process and its Real Effects: The cases of Mexico and the USA (with Fausto Hernandez Trillo), Journal of Applied Economics, May 2004, p. 1-25.

 

Party, Incumbency and the Effects of Economic Fluctuations on House Elections, 1916-1996 (with Joe McGarrity), Public Choice, January 2002 p. 143 - 162.

 

Macroeconomic Indicators, Exchange Rate Regimes, Currency Depreciation and Stock Market Performance in the Crisis of 1997 (with Robin Grier), Economic Inquiry, January 2001, p. 139-148.

 

Political Regime Change and the Real Interest Rate (with Tony Caporale), Journal of Money, Credit & Banking,August 2000 p. 320-334.

 

Political Cycles in Non-Traditional Settings, Theory and Evidence for Mexico (with Robin Grier), Journal of Law and Economics, April 2000, p. 239-263.

 

The Effects of Uncertainty on Macroeconomic Performance: Bivariate GARCH Evidence (with Mark Perry), Journal of Applied Econometrics, January-February 2000 p. 45-58.

 

A Political Model of Monetary Policy with Application to the Real Rate of Interest (with Tony Caporale), Journal of Law & Economics, October 1998, p. 409-428.

 

Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty in the G-7 Countries (with Mark Perry), Journal of International Money and Finance,1998, 17(4): 671-689.

 

Inflación e Incertidumbre Inflacionaria en México, 1960 - 1997 (with Robin Grier), Trimestre Económico Julio - Septiembre 1998, p. 407-426.

 

The Effect of Macroeconomic Fluctuations on the Electoral Fortunes of House Incumbents (with Joseph McGarrity), Journal of Law & Economics April 1998, p. 142-161.

             

El Papel de la Estrategia Cambiaria en el Comportamiento Económico de Países en Desarrollo: Evidencia para 1997 (with Robin Grier), Economía Mexicana, Winter 1998, p. 115-131.

 

Inflation, Inflation Uncertainty and Relative Price Dispersion: Evidence from Bivariate GARCH-M Models, Journal of Monetary Economics, October 1996, 38(2): 391-405.

 

Electoral Politics and the Executive Veto (with M. McDonald and R.D. Tollision), Economic Inquiry, July 1995, p. 427-440.

 

The Determinants of Industry Political Activity, 1978-1986 (with M.C. Munger and B. Roberts), American Political Science Review, December 1994, p. 911 - 926.

 

The Rookie Draft and Competitive Balance: The Case of Professional Football (with Robert Tollison), Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization,1994, 25(3): 293-299.

 

The Effect of Money Shocks on Interest Rates in the Presence of Conditional Heteroskedasticity (with Mark Perry), Journal of Finance, September 1993 p. 1445-55.

 

Comparing Interest Group PAC Contributions to House and Senate Incumbents, 1980 - 1986 (with Michael C. Munger), Journal of Politics, August 1993 p. 615-43.

 

On the (Mis)Measurement of Ideology and Legislator Shirking (with Brian Goff), Public Choice, June 1993 p. 5-20.

 

Ideology and Representation in American Politics, Public Choice, June 1993 p. 1-4.

 

Congressional Influence on U.S. Monetary Policy: An Empirical Test, Journal of Monetary Economics, October 1991, 28(2): 201-220.

 

 The Industrial Organization of Corporate Political Participation (with B. Roberts and M. Munger), Southern Economic Journal, January 1991 p. 727 - 738.

 

Committee Assignments, Constituent Preferences and Campaign Contributions to House Incumbents (with M.C. Munger), Economic Inquiry, January 1991, p. 24 - 43.

 

Arbitrage in a Basketball Economy, (with R.D. Tollison), Kyklos, 1990 Volume 43, #4 p. 611 - 624.

 

Allocation Patterns of PAC Monies: The Case of the U.S. Senate (with M.C. Munger and G. Torrent), Public Choice, November 1990, p. 111-28.

 

An Empirical Analysis of Cross-National Economic Growth (with Gordon Tullock), Journal of Monetary Economics, September 1989, 24(2): 259-276.

 

Campaign Spending and Senate Elections, 1978 - 1984, Public Choice December 1989, p. 201-19.

 

On the Existence of a Political Monetary Cycle, American Journal of Political Science, May 1989, p. 376-89.

 

Presidential Politics and Federal Reserve Independence: an Empirical Test, Southern Economic Journal, October 1987, p. 475-486.

 

Deficits, Politics and Money Growth  (with Howard Neiman), Economic Inquiry, April 1987, p. 201-14.

 

A Note on Unanticipated Money Growth and Interest Rate Surprises: Makin and Mishkin Revisited, Journal of Finance, September, 1986 p. 981-85.

 

Monetary Policy as a Political Equilibrium, Cato Journal, Fall 1986, 6(2): 539-544.

 

The Impact of Legislator Attributes on Interest Group Campaign Contributions (with Michael Munger), Journal of Labor Research, September 1986, 7(4): 349-361.

 

The Determinants of Local School Spending: Some Consistent Estimates(with Arthur Denzau), Public Choice, December 1984, p. 375-83.

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